It is
unfortunate that all policies framed by RBI and government of India in last two
decades are directed to reduce savings and increase spending.
First and
foremost is policy to reduce interest rate in banks during reformation era
started from 1991 under the guidance of economist Mr. Manmohan Singh has made
credit delivery from banks comfortable for corporate sector and small traders
but reduction in interest rate on deposits has played more damaging
role in last two decades.
Due to decline
in interest rate on deposits made in banks, people are no more interested in
keeping their idle money in banks but searching other avenues like gold or real
estate to park their surplus income. This is why there has been continuous fall
in growth of savings and due to which government has very little room to
increase investment, neither in infrastructure nor in manufacturing
sector or in social welfare schemes.
Due to fall in
savings and resultant fall in growth in deposits received by banks, there is
always liquidity crisis in banks. RBI and Government of India is forced to
provide liquidity to banks by reducing CRR, SLR and by by lending at Repo rate
or by other monetary measures. Besides banks is constrained to depend on
sources of money like call money or bonds.
Due to
liquidity problems, banks are not in a position to lend money to needy business
men .Though banks are making best efforts to make more and more credit growth,
their hands are tight. To add fuel to fire banks are not able to recover the
money they lend as per schedule which further create mismatch in
asset liability .Banks are not able to recycle money to create more and more
money by sanctioning more and more loans.
Secondly
government has policies more favourable for real estate builders, less for home
seekers. GOI has given more concessions in tax in such a way that real estate
builders get more and more opportunity to grow in wealth but adversely affects
the purchasing capacity of home buyers. Cost of a house has gone
up manifold during last decade than that in preceding
five decades. Poor and middle class persons cannot afford
buying a new house or a flat. Upper middle class may afford buying a house
after taking loan from banks.
Due to
continuous rise in prices of all commodities required for survival of life,
common men without any rise in their income, 95 percent of Indian population is
not in a position to taste the so called fruits of reformation era.
Further due to
addition of more and more retail marts in urban areas, big towns and metros,
public tendency to spend more and more has grown up without commensurating rise
in their income. This is why saving capacity of middle class and rich class
of India is also shrinking day by day. Further to add fuel to fire, GOI has
allowed foreign companies to open their shops in Indian towns to give dangerous
boost to spending habits of Indians as a whole.
Negligible
portion of Indian population who can afford buying new and new electronic and
other luxurious goods and services are also not bothered of making savings for
rainy days. As in America, people of India are also now getting hassle free
personal and consumer loans from banks which again cause erosion in savings
growth.
It is important to point out here
that banks are also promoting more and more retail loan because they consider
these loans safer than other commercial loans. Due to this, capacity of
businessmen to increase manufacture and increase their contribution in service
sector has also decreased year after year.
In brief , until GOI changes it s
policy and make them conducive for growth in savings and for growth in
investment in manufacturing and agriculture sector , Indian cannot dream of
solving its financial problems , it cannot dream of real welfare of common men
, it cannot increase GDP growth on permanent basis , it cannot save sinking
banks and what not.
Sooner or the later, GOI will
have to frame uniform interest rate structure conducive for growth in savings
and growth in capacity of banks to lend more and more in agriculture and
manufacturing sector. Efforts of Government to distribute cash subsidy to poor
may enrich their vote bank for a short period but in the long run this dirty
policy will turn the poor as beggar and they will develop a habit of not
working but depending on alms they will receive freely from politicians.
GOI may
give free mid day meal to students but cannot force them to read until there is
quality teaching in schools.
GOI may feel pride for MANREGA scheme but ground
reality that rural mass are getting alms for few days but not in a position to
work hard for earning real permanent income .
GOI may distribute subsidy in cash
directly in bank but cannot inculcate good habits of work in rural and urban
poor.
GOI will have to formulate and activate policies whic will help in creating more and more employment opportunities as their forefather created by
SAIL, BHEL and other PSUs.
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